03/01/2015 Jharkhand Assembly poll compels Bihar parties to close ranks
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Patna,(BiharTimes): The results of Jharkhand election may not have much impact on the national politics but it certainly will matter a lot in neighboring state of Bihar, where election is due after 10 months. The results have given enough lessons to all political parties compelling them to pull up their socks for the coming Assembly election. The so-called Janata Parivar, mainly led by two stalwarts of Bihar politics––Lalu Prasad and Nitish Kumar––have inched closers and their outfits are about to merge. Both RJD and JD(U) faced worst drubbing in Jharkhand. RJD contested 19 seats but could not win a single of them though it has five MLAs last time. The RJD was supporting the Hemant Soren government. Even its vote share got reduced from about five per cent in 2009 Assembly polls to 3.12 this time. Nitish Kumar’s party JD(U) contested 11 seats and met the same fate. It failed to get even one per cent votes.Perhaps Nitish was aware of likely results so he did not go to campaign for party candidates in neighboring state though he campaigned in Haryana only a couple of months back. Even their votes put together hardly makes any political sense. It is because of this big debacle in Jharkhand that the process of merger has further been intensified. They do not want to split the anti-BJP votes. They have learnt a lesson that had the ‘secular forces’, that is JMM, Congress, RJD and JD(U) fought unitedly the BJP-led alliance would not have come to power in Jharkhand. If RJD and JD(U) contest unitedly in Bihar they may pose a stiff challenge to the BJP. The rank and file of saffron party fear that the Narendra Modi magic may wane somewhat by the next Assembly election as it happened even in Jharkhand. So the BJP is leaving nothing to chance and is trying to put up a united front. Party insiders say that the BJP has even finalized its seat-sharing arrangements with the LJP and RLSP so that it could start its campaign much earlier. Though Congress has a marginal presence in Bihar yet it has the potential to spoil the whole game plan of two Mandal titans. However, this time Congress may get due importance in Bihar in opposition unity though in the past it was often ignored. For the BJP the impact of “Modi wave” may not be the only factor for them to capture the power in a state where they were virtually thrown out of the power in a humiliating way by their own ally. Unlike Jharkhand in Bihar opposition unity would be led by two senior and seasoned politicians Lalu and Nitish Kumar. The polarization is much stronger here in comparison to the adjoining tribal state. BJP is yet to win over some new social segments like OBCs and Dalits in a big way under party fold. Now it is clear that saffron party would contest Bihar election without projecting any party leader as chief ministerial candidate as there are a number of factions in the state unit of the BJP. Jharkhand election results have given fresh enthusiasm to party workers. Further BJP would have upper hand in ticket sharing with two allies––LJP and RLSP––who are craving for large pie.On the other hand Lalu- Nitish combine would face a herculean task to accommodate party leaders in the election, JD(U) with about 110 MLAs is likely to play second fiddle as Lalu led RJD with 21 MLAs would strive to get 120-130 seats. This may force a large scale dissertation of party leaders towards BJP where at least some vacancy exists. If this process of desertion starts earlier it may jeopardise the future of the Jitan Ram Manjhi government. The Bihar election would be a real acid test for Modi as well as BJP. Similarly, Lalu and Nitish are fighting their last ditch battle for the political survival.
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